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🔗Post COP27. Where to next?
There is hope, but … Dec 2022

There are those who would have us believe that exceeding 1.5C is now inevitable – a claim that suits those who want us to carry on consuming as we have been, perpetuating our reliance on fossil fuels and perpetuating their profits.

It’s true that unless we change course we will exceed 1.5C around 2031.

But none of this is inevitable. This is by no means our only path. One thing that all paths have in common, if we are to keep to 1.5C, is that we need to make substantial reductions this decade. One year and 40 GtCO2 on since last year’s assessment, there are still avenues left to us.

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COP26 ‘progress’ – Dec 2021

This quote by Kevin Anderson, a climate scientist, (@KevinClimate), is an apt assessment of COP progress: “We are not making progress ….what we are doing is not stepping backwards quite as far as we otherwise would be.” More ▼

This decade – Nov 2021

The figure below shows pathways we might take to reduce our emissions. There are many variations, but one thing is common to all paths: if we do not do substantial reductions over this decade, it becomes difficult or impossible to keep to our carbon budget and 1.5C. More ▼